Exact Estimate (USA) Horse
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About
Exact Estimate is a 7yo b horse from the United States trained by Brad H. Cox. It is by the stallion Into Mischief out of the dam Magic Union. The horse has secured five wins in its career. On 10 Aug 2025 at Saratoga, Exact Estimate earned its most important victory to date, capturing the $115000.00 Race 7.
Raced At
Aqueduct • Belmont At The Big A • Saratoga • Tampa Bay Downs • Gulfstream • Belmont Park • KeenelandRace Record
| Event Summary | Runner Stats | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Aqueduct 12-Jan-26 1609m SOFT R7 Race 7 (of $80,000) Barrier 7, Winning Time: 01:37.510, SP: 7.50 1st Bramito ( Y Hazlewood 123 , Cd 128 ) 2nd Light The Way ( K Carmouche 123 ) 1.75L 3rd Crushed It ( F Prat 123 ) 6.25L 7th Exact Estimate ( M Franco 123 ) 30.75L See full results | M Franco 55.8kg 30.75L | 7 (8) |
| Aqueduct 05-Dec-25 1410m FIRM R4 Race 4 $18,400 (of $92,000) Barrier 6, Winning Time: 01:22.440, SP: 3.50 prompted the leader from the outside four then three wide, advanced to be heads apart three furlongs out, got set down spinning just off the inside into upper stretch, dug in latched on until repelled outside the eighth pole, ran on to secure the place honors. 1st Light The Way ( K Carmouche 122 ) 2nd Exact Estimate ( F Prat 122 ) 1.75L 3rd Signator ( M Franco 122 ) 1.25L See full results | F Prat 55.3kg 1.75L | 2 (5) |
| Belmont At The Big A 28-Sep-25 1610m R11 Race 11 $450 (of $90,000) Barrier 9, Winning Time: 01:35.900, SP: 5.50 was taken up in tight quarters after the start, became rank nearing the first turn, continued rank in the three to four path on that bend, was reserved on the outside without cover, traveled around the far turn in the three path while asked, turned into upper stretch in the five path and came up empty. 1st Judge Davis ( J Ortiz 122 ) 2nd Dear Dad ( R J Santana 124 ) 0.50L 3rd Final Verdict ( D Davis 122 ) 0.20L 10th Exact Estimate ( J Velazquez 124 ) 6.10L See full results | J Velazquez 56.2kg 6.10L | 10 (11) |
| Saratoga 10-Aug-25 1610m FIRM R7 Race 7 $72,450 (of $115,000) Barrier 7, Winning Time: 01:35.230, SP: 3.50 moved in while taken in hand early, went around the first turn in the two path, was reserved on the outside but with cover, moved closer while taken out from behind cover near the half-mile pole, stalked outside in the three path on the far turn, was given his cue at the quarter-pole, made an outside bid under a drive in upper stretch, dueled outside of the runner-up in the final furlong and narrowly prevailed under strong urging. 1st Exact Estimate ( F Prat 123 ) 2nd Gilded Craken ( I O Jr 125 ) 0.20L 3rd Magical Ways ( R Maragh 123 ) 1.50L See full results | F Prat 55.8kg | 1 (7) |
| Belmont At The Big A 20-Jun-25 1710m GOOD R7 Race 7 $18,400 (of $92,000) Barrier 6, Winning Time: 01:40.990, SP: 6.50 three wide through the first turn, settled just off the inside in pursuit from mid pack patiently handled until called upon spinning three wide into upper stretch, dug in under a drive and ran on to secure the place honors in the final jumps to the wire. 1st Cugino ( I O Jr 123 ) 2nd Exact Estimate ( F Prat 121 ) 1.00L 3rd Big Everest ( J Rosario 123 ) 0.15L See full results | F Prat 54.9kg 1.00L | 2 (7) |
| Tampa Bay Downs 20-Apr-25 1610m GOOD R3 Race 3 $10,900 (of $54,500) Barrier 5, Winning Time: 01:35.020, SP: 2.10 Ins,came2w,fought on 1st Belouni ( A Gallardo 118 ) 2nd Exact Estimate ( S Camacho 118 ) 0.50L 3rd It Can Be Done ( J Ferrer 118 ) 0.00L See full results | S Camacho 53.5kg 0.50L | 2 (7) |
| Gulfstream 26-Jan-25 1670m FIRM R6 Hcp $950 (of $100,000) Barrier 6, Winning Time: 01:38.300, SP: 10.00 set the pace in the two path, but lost the lead along the inside passing the quarter, and faded. 1st Smokin' T ( L Dettori 120 ) 2nd Jerry The Nipper ( I O Jr 124 ) 1.25L 3rd In A Jam ( J Ortiz 119 ) 0.30L 9th Exact Estimate ( E Zayas 120 ) 6.35L See full results | E Zayas 54.4kg 6.35L | 9 (11) |
| Gulfstream 29-Dec-24 1710m FIRM R9 Hcp $800 (of $100,000) Barrier 8, Winning Time: 01:39.970, SP: 4.00 tracked the early pace setter two deep and gave way. 1st Jerry The Nipper ( I O Jr 124 ) 2nd Boppy O ( E Gonzalez 121 ) 1.00L 3rd Possiblemente ( L Reyes 119 ) 0.30L 7th Exact Estimate ( T Gaffalione 122 ) 4.60L See full results | T Gaffalione 55.3kg 4.60L | 7 (9) |
| Gulfstream 03-Mar-24 1810m FIRM R4 Hcp $63,000 (of $100,000) Barrier 10, Winning Time: 01:48.380 was off slowly, advanced four wide into the first turn, angled into the three path midway around that bend, took the lead nearing the far turn, set the pace in the three path around that bend, edged ahead in upper stretch and dug in to just last. 1st Exact Estimate ( I O Jr 122 ) 2nd Skyro ( J Ortiz 120 ) 0.15L 3rd Ohana Honor ( J Castellano 119 ) 0.15L See full results | I O Jr 55.3kg | 1 (9) |
| Gulfstream 28-Jan-24 1670m FIRM R7 Hcp $20,000 (of $100,000) Barrier 1, Winning Time: 01:38.260 set the pace in the two path, repelled challenges in upper stretch, went clear in midstretch, led to the final strides and was nailed. 1st County Final ( F Prat 121 ) 2nd Exact Estimate ( I O Jr 123 ) 0.05L 3rd Skyro ( J Bravo 121 ) 0.50L See full results | I O Jr 55.8kg 0.05L | 2 (12) |
| Aqueduct 13-Nov-23 1610m GOOD R8 Artie Schiller Stakes (Stakes) $30,000 (of $150,000) Barrier 6, Winning Time: 01:34.450 2-3p turns,fought on 1st Big Everest ( J Rosario 123 ) 2nd Exact Estimate ( I O Jr 123 ) 0.75L 3rd Masen ( M Franco 121 ) 0.75L See full results | I O Jr 55.8kg 0.75L | 2 (8) |
| Belmont At The Big A 22-Sep-23 1810m R7 CL $64,260 (of $102,000) Barrier 1, Winning Time: 01:48.760 Ins1st,3p2nd,clr,held 1st Exact Estimate ( I O Jr 126 ) 2nd Freedom Trail ( J Ortiz 118 ) 0.30L 3rd Daunt ( J Castellano 122 ) 2.00L See full results | I O Jr 57.2kg | 1 (8) |
| Saratoga 21-Jul-23 1710m GOOD R9 CL $515 (of $156,000) Barrier 7, Winning Time: 01:41.200, SP: 3.25 went three wide on the first turn, was rated on the outside, came under urging while three then four wide on the far turn, chased into upper stretch, was taken in hand while dropping back at the furlong marker and capitulated. 1st Whisper Not ( T Gaffalione 122 ) 2nd Chasing The Crown ( M Franco 124 ) 0.50L 3rd Napoleonic War ( F Prat 122 ) 1.00L 11th Exact Estimate ( I O Jr 126 ) 9.00L See full results | I O Jr 57.2kg 9.00L | 11 (12) |
| Belmont Park 18-Jun-23 1610m GOOD R8 CL $59,850 (of $95,000) Barrier 7, Winning Time: 01:35.880, SP: 1.95 4w 1/4, up final jumps 1st Exact Estimate ( I O Jr 126 ) 2nd Kawhi Me A River ( K Davis 124 ) 0.50L 3rd Al's Rocket ( J Ortiz 124 ) 0.75L See full results | I O Jr 57.2kg | 1 (6) |
| Keeneland 27-Apr-23 1610m GOOD R4 CL $22,000 (of $110,000) Barrier 7, Winning Time: 01:35.470 broke slowly, settled off of the pace in the two path, took the far turn in the three to four paths, tipped to the five path in upper stretch, rallied to bid outside of the new leader at the sixteenth pole, but was kept at bay. 1st Catnip ( B J H Jr 118 ) 2nd Exact Estimate ( T Gaffalione 123 ) 0.25L 3rd Policy Option ( W A Rodriguez 118 , Cd 113 ) 0.75L See full results | T Gaffalione 55.8kg 0.25L | 2 (8) |
| Gulfstream 18-Mar-23 1710m R6 Md $52,920 (of $84,000) Barrier 8, Winning Time: 01:40.970 settled off the pace while racing three wide, advanced three wide around the far turn, took over in midstretch, drifted out under left-handed urging near the sixteenth pole and held safe. 1st Exact Estimate ( J L Ortiz 122 ) 2nd Oglethorpe ( L Saez 122 ) 1.00L 3rd Happy Runner ( P Lopez 122 ) 4.00L See full results | J L Ortiz 55.3kg | 1 (9) |
| Belmont Park 11-Jun-22 1610m R1 Race 1 $6,300 (of $90,000) Barrier 1, Winning Time: 01:35.070 went to the front, showed the way down the backstretch, vied inside of the runner-up while along the rail on the turn, was asked near the five-sixteenths, lost the advantage at the quarter-pole and tired. 1st Artorius ( I O Jr 118 ) 2nd Gasoline ( L Saez 118 ) 0.75L 3rd Winit ( J Castellano 118 ) 5.75L 4th Exact Estimate ( F Prat 118 ) 9.25L See full results | F Prat 53.5kg 9.25L | 4 (7) |
| Keeneland 25-Apr-22 1410m FIRM R8 Race 8 $20,000 (of $100,000) Barrier 2, Winning Time: 01:27.050 tugged forward down the backstretch to split the leaders and vie at the half mile pole, but failed to keep pace with his outer counterpart into the turn, chased that foe turning for home as. 1st B Dawk ( T Gaffalione 120 ) 2nd Exact Estimate ( F Prat 120 ) 11.25L 3rd Guest Speaker ( I O Jr 120 ) 11.75L See full results | F Prat 54.4kg 11.25L | 2 (10) |