Improbability (USA) Horse
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About
Improbability, a 4yo dark bay/brown colt from the United States trained by John Haran, is by Improbable out of Elusive Pearl. The horse has yet to win in seven starts. In its most recent start at Oaklawn Park on 28 Feb 2026, jockey Javier Padron‑Barcenas rode Improbability to ninth place, behind winner Grand Oracle.
Race Record
| Event Summary | Runner Stats | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Oaklawn Park 28-Feb-26 1207m R3 Md (of $30,000) Barrier 3, Winning Time: 01:11.070, SP: 34.00 tracked inside early but retreated. 1st Grand Oracle ( L Saez 124 ) 2nd Highway Patrol ( A Mendoza 124 , Cd 119 ) 2.50L 3rd Amentum ( D Cabrera 124 ) 6.50L 9th Improbability ( J Padron-barcenas 124 ) 30.75L See full results | J Padron-barcenas 56.2kg 30.75L | 9 (9) |
| Oaklawn Park 15-Feb-26 1207m R1 Md $650 (of $39,000) Barrier 6, Winning Time: 01:11.250, SP: 41.00 bumped with an inner foe at the start and always trailed from the two to three paths. 1st Trouble Ahead ( C Torres 124 ) 2nd Nyquist Frequency ( J Torres 124 ) 3.75L 3rd World Fair ( D Cabrera 124 ) 0.30L 7th Improbability ( J P Barcenas 124 ) 33.00L See full results | J P Barcenas 56.2kg 33.00L | 7 (7) |
| Oaklawn Park 08-Dec-24 1210m FIRM R3 Md $400 (of $40,001) Barrier 3, Winning Time: 01:13.760, SP: 7.00 remained back in failing to menace. 1st Sweet La Crema ( W D L Cruz 120 ) 2nd Staygoldponyboy ( R Bejarano 120 ) 1.50L 3rd Tip Toe Joe ( F Arrieta 120 ) 4.25L 7th Improbability ( T Bacon 120 , Cd 125 ) 24.25L See full results | T Bacon 54.4kg, Cd 56.7kg 24.25L | 7 (9) |
| Horseshoe Indianapolis 26-Sep-24 1010m FIRM R3 Md $4,352 (of $43,522) Barrier 8, Winning Time: 00:59.030 vied in the three path while no match. 1st Moon Sniper ( C Landeros 120 ) 2nd Corman ( M J Pedroza 120 ) 4.75L 3rd Improbability ( A Burgos 120 ) 5.00L See full results | A Burgos 54.4kg 5.00L | 3 (5) |
| Horseshoe Indianapolis 05-Sep-24 1110m FIRM R6 Md $320 (of $43,522) Barrier 11, Winning Time: 01:05.790 stalked the pace in the four path and faded on the turn. 1st Trew Violence ( A Achard 120 ) 2nd Pacific Standard ( F C L De 120 ) 2.50L 3rd Moon Sniper ( C Landeros 120 ) 0.30L 7th Improbability ( E Roman 120 ) 16.10L See full results | E Roman 54.4kg 16.10L | 7 (7) |
| Horseshoe Indianapolis 08-Aug-24 1010m FIRM R1 Md $5,577 (of $27,881) Barrier 2, Winning Time: 00:59.720 Led inside,no match 1st Mendello ( R Miranda 120 ) 2nd Improbability ( A Burgos 120 ) 0.75L 3rd Herb Elias ( E Asmussen 120 ) 1.75L See full results | A Burgos 54.4kg 0.75L | 2 (5) |
| Presque Isle Downs 09-Jul-24 1010m FIRM R4 Md $450 (of $30,000) Barrier 10, Winning Time: 00:59.210 broke in at the start, moved to position two and three wide through the turn, came four wide into the stretch, angled out and was bumped by the winner, then flattened. 1st Good Directions ( I Rodriguez 120 ) 2nd Time For Restraint ( A Gallardo 120 ) 0.00L 3rd Saki Bomb ( D Delgado 120 ) 0.00L 6th Improbability ( P Morales 120 ) 4.90L See full results | P Morales 54.4kg 4.90L | 6 (8) |