Probability (USA) Horse
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About
Probability is a 4yo colt from the United States trained by Amelia J. Green. He is by the stallion Improbable out of the dam Perazzi. Probability has won 2 races in his career. On 23rd Mar 2026 at Aqueduct, he recorded his most significant win, earning $75000.00 Md.
Race Record
| Event Summary | Runner Stats | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Finger Lakes 08-Jul-26 1710m R7 Race 7 $16,695 (of $26,500) Barrier 7, Winning Time: 01:44.490, SP: 3.00 1st Probability ( C Elliott 124 ) 2nd Valentinian ( R Gutierrez 124 ) 2.00L 3rd Love Coin ( K J Coa 120 ) 3.50L See full results | C Elliott 56.2kg | 1 (5) |
| Saratoga 04-Jun-26 1811m FIRM R7 Race 7 $450 (of $105,000) Barrier 1, Winning Time: 01:46.840, SP: 34.00 1st A Little At First ( J Castellano 120 ) 2nd Willpowered ( F Prat 126 ) 1.25L 3rd Honoree ( I O Jr 120 ) 0.20L 11th Probability ( J Rodriguez 126 ) 13.85L See full results | J Rodriguez 57.2kg 13.85L | 11 (12) |
| Aqueduct 18-Apr-26 1811m R6 Race 6 $770 (of $77,000) Barrier 8, Winning Time: 01:51.870, SP: 3.00 1st Ez Roll ( J V Jr 126 ) 2nd Senegal ( R J Santana 126 ) 5.00L 3rd Mad Banker ( R Silvera 126 ) 1.00L 8th Probability ( J Rodriguez 126 ) 14.75L See full results | J Rodriguez 57.2kg 14.75L | 8 (8) |
| Aqueduct 23-Mar-26 1609m R2 Md $47,250 (of $75,000) Barrier 3, Winning Time: 01:38.200, SP: 1.62 coaxed from the gate, raced forwardly placed advancing to take narrow command six furlongs out, showed the way in hand along the inside coming under coaxing just outside the quarter pole, spun just off the inside into upper stretch, edged clear under a drive to prevail. 1st Probability ( J Rodriguez 126 ) 2nd Mo Curls ( R Silvera 120 ) 3.00L 3rd Power Speed ( K Carmouche 120 ) 4.50L See full results | J Rodriguez 57.2kg | 1 (6) |
| Aqueduct 28-Feb-26 1308m SOFT R2 Md $15,000 (of $75,000) Barrier 6, Winning Time: 01:20.200, SP: 2.25 1st Kaz Oil Changer ( J Rodriguez 122 ) 2nd Probability ( M Franco 122 ) 1.00L 3rd Alzero ( C Elliott 122 ) 4.75L See full results | M Franco 55.3kg 1.00L | 2 (6) |