Probably (USA) Horse
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About
Probably is a 4yo bay colt from the United States, trained by Larry E. Smith. He is by Improbable out of Frivolous and has yet to break his maiden, going 0‑9. In his most recent start at Turfway Park on March 8, 2026, jockey Samuel E. Bermudez guided him to a sixth-place finish behind winner Coasting By.
Race Record
| Event Summary | Runner Stats | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Turfway Park 08-Mar-26 1609m R2 Md (of $17,900) Barrier 4, Winning Time: 01:41.010, SP: 17.00 brushed with an outer foe at the start, vied for the lead with an outer pair into the backstretch, then with only a single rival around the far turn, proved no match for that one at the quarter pole then faded. 1st Coasting By ( R M Jr 126 ) 2nd Hurricane Express ( R A Prescott 126 ) 1.75L 3rd Discombobulaator ( J R Gutierrez 126 , Cd 121 ) 6.00L 6th Probably ( S E Bermudez 126 ) 12.00L See full results | S E Bermudez 57.2kg 12.00L | 6 (12) |
| Turfway Park 20-Feb-26 1308m R7 Md $511 (of $17,900) Barrier 3, Winning Time: 01:19.850, SP: 5.50 pursued from midpack in the five path, got outkicked by an outer rival entering the lane and failed to menace. 1st Colonel Compton ( G Martin 125 ) 2nd Hurricane Express ( P Rodney 125 ) 3.75L 3rd Coasting By ( M J Rafael 125 ) 1.75L 5th Probably ( B Samuel 125 ) 17.25L See full results | B Samuel 56.7kg 17.25L | 5 (12) |
| Turfway Park 07-Dec-25 1210m R1 Md $3,580 (of $17,900) Barrier 7, Winning Time: 01:10.890, SP: 5.50 GOOD position to quarter pole, kept on in stretch while no match. 1st Warlord ( W Rodriguez 122 ) 2nd Probably ( S Bermudez 122 ) 7.25L 3rd Dark Diamond ( I Moncada 119 ) 1.50L See full results | S Bermudez 55.3kg 7.25L | 2 (12) |
| Mahoning Valley 21-Oct-25 1110m R3 Md $2,440 (of $12,200) Barrier 5, Winning Time: 01:06.400, SP: 2.75 stalked the pace three wide, began closing in the final sixteenth before taking hold due to drifting rival. 1st Bound To Succeed ( L Batista 126 ) 2nd Probably ( A Diaz 123 ) 1.25L 3rd Valid Connection ( D Haldar 123 ) 1.00L See full results | A Diaz 55.8kg 1.25L | 2 (5) |
| Belterra Park 27-Sep-25 1610m R5 Race 5 $1,000 (of $10,000) Barrier 7, Winning Time: 01:44.890 raced close to the pace while racing towards the outside, rallied on the turn to loom a threat, swung out entering the stretch, dropped back, leveled off and held safely for show. 1st Extravagant Prince ( O Villarreal 121 ) 2nd Tkac ( J P Barcenas 121 ) 0.75L 3rd Probably ( S Pauly 121 ) 3.50L See full results | S Pauly 54.9kg 3.50L | 3 (6) |
| Belterra Park 03-Sep-25 1010m R8 Race 8 $2,000 (of $10,000) Barrier 1, Winning Time: 00:57.910 chased the pace from along the rail, then angled out into the stretch and closed willingly to get up for place. 1st Stay Frosty ( Y Correa 121 ) 2nd Probably ( R J Mojica 121 ) 0.75L 3rd First Act ( L Sosa 121 ) 2.00L See full results | R J Mojica 54.9kg 0.75L | 2 (5) |
| Monmouth Park 21-Jul-25 1710m GOOD R10 Md $700 (of $17,500) Barrier 1, Winning Time: 01:44.550, SP: 13.00 tracked on the inside, chased on the far turn and lacked a rally. 1st Surprise Package ( S Marin 119 ) 2nd Editor's Choice ( R Moya 123 ) 2.25L 3rd We Live This Game ( J V Jr 123 ) 1.25L 7th Probably ( S Camacho 119 ) 6.00L See full results | S Camacho 54kg 6.00L | 7 (11) |
| Ellis Park 04-Jul-25 1710m GOOD R6 Md $390 (of $37,500) Barrier 5, Winning Time: 01:42.930, SP: 10.00 transferred contact from an outer foe to an inner rival at the start, tracked from the two path, then between horses before chasing in the three path around teh far turn, but yielded between foes entering the lane. 1st Trojan Pride ( C Lanerie 118 ) 2nd Midnight Survivor ( G Saez 118 ) 1.50L 3rd Helm Place ( B J Hernandez 118 ) 0.50L 7th Probably ( E Morales 118 ) 0.00L See full results | E Morales 53.5kg 0.00L | 7 (10) |
| Belterra Park 13-Jun-25 1010m GOOD R5 Race 5 $775 (of $30,500) Barrier 1, Winning Time: 00:58.210 tracked in the two path, bid between foes turning into the lane, but faded in the final furlong. 1st Holy Alimony ( V Lebron 125 ) 2nd Cortina ( G Ashton 125 ) 0.20L 3rd T. L. Copper Still ( J Hernandez 125 ) 1.25L 4th Probably ( R J Mojica 121 ) 2.85L See full results | R J Mojica 54.9kg 2.85L | 4 (8) |