Most Probable (USA) Horse
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About
Most Probable is a 3yo colt from the United States trained by Colby Williams. He is by the stallion Improbable out of the mare Kitten's Finest. The horse has not yet broken his maiden, having failed to win in 10 starts. In his most recent race at Keeneland on October 24, 2026, he was ridden by John McKee and finished fourth behind the winner Boss' Deed.
Raced At
KeenelandRace Record
| Event Summary | Runner Stats | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Keeneland 24-Oct-26 1308m FIRM R1 Md $5,289 (of $75,557) Barrier 5, Winning Time: 01:18.390, SP: 26.00 raced off of the pace in the three path, moved out to the five path turning for home, shifted inwardly in upper stretch then ran on willingly. 1st Boss' Deed ( A Concepcion 121 ) 2nd Telecaster ( W I Antongeorgi 121 ) 1.75L 3rd Lasting Legacy ( J Ortiz 121 ) 2.00L 4th Most Probable ( J Mckee 121 ) 4.75L See full results | J Mckee 54.9kg 4.75L | 4 (8) |
| Belterra Park 03-Oct-26 1609m GOOD R4 Md $562 (of $11,236) Barrier 1, SP: 15.00 1st Delgany Boy ( S Pauly 121 ) 2nd Turn Him Loose ( C Jimenez 125 ) 0.75L 3rd Just Munny ( G Rodriguez 121 ) 0.75L 5th Most Probable ( J Mckee 121 ) 3.00L | J Mckee 54.9kg 3.00L | 5 (7) |
| Belterra Park 17-Sep-26 1308m FIRM R5 Md $2,948 (of $9,580) Barrier 4, SP: 4.50 1st Kenwood Street ( S Pauly 121 ) 2nd Most Probable ( J J Meza 121 ) 3rd Arrow Ghost ( D R Grisales 123 ) 9.00L | J J Meza 54.9kg | 2 (4) |
| Belterra Park 10-Sep-26 1006m GOOD R3 Md $2,633 (of $8,559) Barrier 1, SP: 2.30 1st Clever Emperor ( J R Cruz 121 ) 2nd Most Probable ( J J Meza 121 ) 3rd Max N' Lou ( O Villarreal 125 ) 3.00L | J J Meza 54.9kg | 2 (4) |
| Belterra Park 27-Aug-26 1006m GOOD R3 Md $2,653 (of $8,224) Barrier 5, SP: 3.40 1st Dave Did It ( Y Correa 125 ) 2nd Most Probable ( J J Meza 121 ) 3rd Firestorm Dancer ( J Mckee 125 ) 2.75L | J J Meza 54.9kg | 2 (5) |