Probability (USA) Horse
About
Probability is a 3yo ch unknown from United States trained by William Walden, who is based at . It is sired by the stallion Improbable out of the dam Perazzi. Probability is yet to break its maiden status, having not won a race yet from 3 attempts. During its most recent race at Aqueduct on 6th Dec 2025, Probability was ridden by Manuel Franco and finished 2nd, behind the winner Twohonestmischief.
Race Record
| Event Summary | Runner Stats | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Aqueduct 06-Dec-25 1610m FIRM R8 Md $16,000 (of $80,000) Barrier 5, Winning Time: 01:37.140, SP: 2.75 settled off the pace, raced in the three path on the turn, was roused late on that bend, made light contact with a rival while making a bid in upper stretch, battled outside of the winner in the final furlong and just missed while well clear for the place. | M Franco 54.9kg 0.10L | 2 (8) |
| Belmont At The Big A 22-Sep-24 1210m FIRM R7 Md $7,501 (of $75,001) Barrier 5, Winning Time: 01:11.160 broke out at the start under husting bumping HAVE A CIGAR, chased three wide coming under coaxing at the three-eighths, swung three to four wide into upper stretch and weakened. | K Carmouche 54kg 10.50L | 3 (11) |
| Saratoga 04-Aug-24 1210m FIRM R2 Md $3,600 (of $90,000) Barrier 3, Winning Time: 01:11.289 chased the pace down the backstretch, went around the turn in the three path and tired. | I O Jr 54kg 13.55L | 5 (10) |
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