Probable Choice (USA)

Country
United States
Foal Date
09-Feb-23
Colour
gray or roan
Dam
Madita
Prize Money
$3460
Trainer
Oscar S. Barrera Iii
Owners
Nova Stables
About

Probable Choice is a 2yo gr/ro from the United States trained by Oscar S. Barrera III. He is by Improbable out of Madita. The horse has not yet broken his maiden, remaining winless in four starts. In his most recent start at Belmont’s Big A on 6 Oct 2025, he was ridden by Ruben Silvera and finished 12th, behind the winner Fancy Lights.

Race Record
Event SummaryRunner StatsRank
Belmont At The Big A 06-Oct-25 1207m R5 Md (of $80,000) Barrier 12, Winning Time: 01:09.500, SP: 51.00R Silvera 54kg 15.55L12 (12)
Belmont At The Big A 15-Sep-25 1709m R1 Md $700 (of $70,000) Barrier 2, Winning Time: 01:45.170, SP: 26.00 brushed with a foe at the start then was hustled to the lead, was taken under a very tight hold after getting to the front, showed the way on the inside while inside of an opponent, was let out on the far turn then asked, lost the advantage to the winner into upper stretch, dropped back into the final furlong and tired.R Silvera 54kg 7.65L7 (8)
Saratoga 10-Aug-25 1106m FIRM R3 Md $900 (of $90,000) Barrier 5, Winning Time: 01:02.690, SP: 51.00 hit the inside of the gate and was off a step slow, moved up between foes then was well placed just off the pace, dropped from the two path to the rail while asked on the turn, chased off the rail in the stretch and tired.J Gomez 54kg 10.35L7 (8)
Saratoga 04-Jul-25 1106m FIRM R6 Md $675 (of $90,000) Barrier 1, Winning Time: 01:05.460, SP: 41.00 Lunged st, falteredC Elliott 54kg, Cd 56.2kg 27.50L9 (9)