Probable Choice (USA) Horse

Country

United States

Foal Date

09-Feb-23

Colour

gray or roan

Dam

Madita

Prize Money

5598

Owners

Nova Stables

About

Aqueduct R8 Race 8 Probable Choice is a 3yo gr/ro unknown from United States trained by Oscar S. Barrera Iii, who is based at . It is sired by the stallion Improbable out of the dam Madita. Probable Choice is yet to break its maiden status, having not won a race yet from 5 attempts. During its most recent race at Aqueduct on 8th Nov 2025, Probable Choice was ridden by Ruben Silvera and finished 7th, behind the winner Fonzi Angel.

Race Record

Event SummaryRunner StatsRank
Aqueduct 08-Nov-25 1610m FIRM R1 Md $1,050 (of $70,000) Barrier 4, Winning Time: 01:37.520, SP: 51.00 1st Fonzi Angel ( J Lezcano 119 ) 2nd Baseball Lady ( M Franco 119 ) 2.00L 3rd Chartist ( J Rosario 119 ) 7.50L 7th Probable Choice ( R Silvera 119 ) 46.25L See full resultsR Silvera 54kg 46.2kgL7 (7)
Belmont At The Big A 06-Oct-25 1210m R5 Md $342 (of $80,000) Barrier 12, Winning Time: 01:09.500, SP: 51.00 1st Fancy Lights ( R S Jr 119 ) 2nd Raynham Hall ( K Carmouche 119 ) 1.50L 3rd My Lil Army Girl ( K Davis 119 ) 2.50L 12th Probable Choice ( R Silvera 119 ) 15.55L See full resultsR Silvera 54kg 15.55L12 (12)
Belmont At The Big A 15-Sep-25 1710m R1 Md $700 (of $70,000) Barrier 2, Winning Time: 01:45.170, SP: 26.00 brushed with a foe at the start then was hustled to the lead, was taken under a very tight hold after getting to the front, showed the way on the inside while inside of an opponent, was let out on the far turn then asked, lost the advantage to the winner into upper stretch, dropped back into the final furlong and tired. 1st Miss Call ( L R R Jr 119 ) 2nd Salt Princess ( J R Velazquez 119 ) 0.10L 3rd River Empress ( K Carmouche 119 ) 1.35L 7th Probable Choice ( R Silvera 119 ) 7.65L See full resultsR Silvera 54kg 7.65L7 (8)
Saratoga 10-Aug-25 1110m FIRM R3 Md $900 (of $90,000) Barrier 5, Winning Time: 01:02.690, SP: 51.00 hit the inside of the gate and was off a step slow, moved up between foes then was well placed just off the pace, dropped from the two path to the rail while asked on the turn, chased off the rail in the stretch and tired. 1st Trading Trouble ( F Prat 119 ) 2nd Charlottesuniverse ( J L Ortiz 119 ) 2.00L 3rd Fancy Lights ( M Franco 119 ) 5.25L 7th Probable Choice ( J A Gomez 119 ) 10.35L See full resultsJ A Gomez 54kg 10.35L7 (8)
Saratoga 04-Jul-25 1110m FIRM R6 Md $675 (of $90,000) Barrier 1, Winning Time: 01:05.460, SP: 41.00 Lunged st, faltered 1st Iron Orchard ( J Rosario 119 ) 2nd Birch Run ( J Alvarado 119 ) 5.50L 3rd Dolce Vino ( L Saez 119 ) 10.00L 9th Probable Choice ( C Elliott 119 , Cd 124 ) 27.50L See full resultsC Elliott 54kg, Cd 56.2kg 27.50L9 (9)