Probable Choice (USA) Horse
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About
Probable Choice, a 3yo gelding/roan foaled in the United States and trained by Oscar Barrera III, is by Improbable out of Madita. The horse has yet to break its maiden, having failed to win in nine starts. In its latest outing at Belmont Park on 23 Oct 2026, Rocco Bowen rode Probable Choice to a fifth‑place finish behind winner Great Happenings.
Race Record
| Event Summary | Runner Stats | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Belmont Park 23-Oct-26 1207m FIRM R5 Md (of $142,490) Barrier 2, Winning Time: 01:09.480, SP: 21.00 went to the front, vied in the two path on the turn, was roused late on that bend, lost the lead under a drive in upper stretch and tired. 1st Great Happenings ( K Davis 123 ) 2nd Bocage Belle ( J Ventura 123 ) 1.00L 3rd It'sgoodtobequeen ( M Franco 123 ) 6.50L 5th Probable Choice ( R Bowen 123 ) 7.25L See full results | R Bowen 55.8kg 7.25L | 5 (11) |
| Belmont Park 21-Sep-26 1811m GOOD R9 Md $1,581 (of $210,855) Barrier 2, Winning Time: 01:53.290, SP: 41.00 established the front from the get go and showed the way in hand along the inside, came under coaxing near the quarter pole and took the inside route into upper stretch under threat, got collared straightened away at the top of the stretch, then tired through to the finish. 1st Lyn's Legacy ( M Franco 122 ) 2nd Felixyn ( D Davis 122 ) 1.00L 3rd Ganderella ( F Prat 122 ) 2.50L 9th Probable Choice ( J Lezcano 122 ) 20.25L See full results | J Lezcano 55.3kg 20.25L | 9 (9) |
| Saratoga 05-Jul-26 1710m FIRM R11 Md $864 (of $144,051) Barrier 7, Winning Time: 01:43.000, SP: 26.00 dropped from the two path to the inside on the first turn, showed the way down the backstretch, vied inside on the far turn, lost the advantage in upper stretch and stopped. 1st Morning Prayer ( R J Santana 121 ) 2nd Lyn's Legacy ( M Franco 121 ) 0.75L 3rd Zap That Ghost ( J L Ortiz 126 ) 2.55L 9th Probable Choice ( J Rodriguez 121 ) 20.45L See full results | J Rodriguez 54.9kg 20.45L | 9 (10) |
| Aqueduct 25-Apr-26 1710m R8 Md $13,717 (of $68,584) Barrier 6, Winning Time: 01:44.870, SP: 41.00 1st On A Summer Day ( K Carmouche 126 ) 2nd Probable Choice ( E Zayas 120 ) 1.50L 3rd Night Jasmine ( D Davis 126 ) 2.50L See full results | E Zayas 54.4kg 1.50L | 2 (13) |
| Aqueduct 08-Nov-25 1610m FIRM R1 Md $1,620 (of $108,006) Barrier 4, Winning Time: 01:37.520, SP: 51.00 1st Fonzi Angel ( J Lezcano 119 ) 2nd Baseball Lady ( M Franco 119 ) 0.00L 3rd Chartist ( J Rosario 119 ) 0.00L 7th Probable Choice ( R Silvera 119 ) 46.25L See full results | R Silvera 54kg 46.2kgL | 7 (7) |