Probable Choice (USA) Horse
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About
Probable Choice is a 3yo gr/ro horse from the United States trained by Oscar S. Barrera III. The colt is by Improbable out of Madita. He has not broken his maiden, going winless in seven attempts. In his latest outing at Saratoga on 5 Jul 2026, jockey Jaime Rodriguez guided him to a ninth‑place finish, behind winner Morning Prayer.
Race Record
| Event Summary | Runner Stats | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Saratoga 05-Jul-26 1710m FIRM R11 Md (of $100,000) Barrier 7, Winning Time: 01:43.000, SP: 26.00 dropped from the two path to the inside on the first turn, showed the way down the backstretch, vied inside on the far turn, lost the advantage in upper stretch and stopped. 1st Morning Prayer ( R S Jr 121 ) 2nd Lyn's Legacy ( M Franco 121 ) 2.50L 3rd Zap That Ghost ( J L Ortiz 126 ) 2.55L 9th Probable Choice ( J Rodriguez 121 ) 20.45L See full results | J Rodriguez 54.9kg 20.45L | 9 (10) |
| Aqueduct 25-Apr-26 1710m R8 Md $9,800 (of $49,000) Barrier 6, Winning Time: 01:44.870, SP: 41.00 1st On A Summer Day ( K Carmouche 126 ) 2nd Probable Choice ( E Zayas 120 ) 1.50L 3rd Night Jasmine ( D Davis 126 ) 2.50L See full results | E Zayas 54.4kg 1.50L | 2 (13) |
| Aqueduct 08-Nov-25 1610m FIRM R1 Md $1,050 (of $70,000) Barrier 4, Winning Time: 01:37.520, SP: 51.00 1st Fonzi Angel ( J Lezcano 119 ) 2nd Baseball Lady ( M Franco 119 ) 0.00L 3rd Chartist ( J Rosario 119 ) 0.00L 7th Probable Choice ( R Silvera 119 ) 46.25L See full results | R Silvera 54kg 46.2kgL | 7 (7) |
| Belmont At The Big A 06-Oct-25 1210m R5 Md $342 (of $80,000) Barrier 12, Winning Time: 01:09.500, SP: 51.00 1st Fancy Lights ( R J Santana 119 ) 2nd Raynham Hall ( K Carmouche 119 ) 1.50L 3rd My Lil Army Girl ( K Davis 119 ) 1.00L 12th Probable Choice ( R Silvera 119 ) 15.55L See full results | R Silvera 54kg 15.55L | 12 (12) |
| Belmont At The Big A 15-Sep-25 1710m R1 Md $700 (of $70,000) Barrier 2, Winning Time: 01:45.170, SP: 26.00 brushed with a foe at the start then was hustled to the lead, was taken under a very tight hold after getting to the front, showed the way on the inside while inside of an opponent, was let out on the far turn then asked, lost the advantage to the winner into upper stretch, dropped back into the final furlong and tired. 1st Miss Call ( L R Jr 119 ) 2nd Salt Princess ( J Velazquez 119 ) 0.20L 3rd River Empress ( K Carmouche 119 ) 1.25L 7th Probable Choice ( R Silvera 119 ) 7.65L See full results | R Silvera 54kg 7.65L | 7 (8) |