Theoretical (USA) Horse

Country

United States

Foal Date

25-Feb-23

Colour

chestnut

Sire

Nyquist

Dam

Shysheisnot

Prize Money

20343

Trainer

Riley Mott

Owners

Tranquility Lake Farms Llc

About

Theoretical is a 3yo colt from the United States trained by Riley Mott. He is by Nyquist out of Shysheisnot. The horse has not yet broken his maiden, failing to win in five starts. In his most recent start at Churchill Downs on 1st May 2026, Theoretical, ridden by Junior Alvarado, finished fifth behind the winner Breaking Hearts.

Race Record

Event SummaryRunner StatsRank
Churchill Downs 01-May-26 1710m R4 Md (of $67,000) Barrier 8, Winning Time: 01:43.200, SP: 3.75 stalked three wide, ranged up to be within striking range entering the lane, but was turned away in upper stretch then gave way. 1st Breaking Hearts ( J L Ortiz 118 ) 2nd Plot ( B J H Jr 126 ) 2.00L 3rd Devices ( I O Jr 118 ) 4.00L 5th Theoretical ( J Alvarado 118 ) 4.55L See full resultsJ Alvarado 53.5kg 4.55L5 (12)
Tampa Bay Downs 30-Mar-26 1609m R11 Md $320 (of $55,000) Barrier 6, Winning Time: 01:36.230, SP: 8.50 settled back along the inside for most of the race then swung about eight wide into the upper and improved late from the outside. 1st Parfois ( I O Jr 119 ) 2nd Aporia ( S Marin 119 ) 6.25L 3rd Mid Summer ( S Camacho 119 ) 0.30L 5th Theoretical ( J Alvarado 119 ) 8.00L See full resultsJ Alvarado 54kg 8.00L5 (12)
Churchill Downs 30-Nov-25 1710m R1 Md $1,538 (of $120,000) Barrier 10, Winning Time: 01:43.990, SP: 15.00 raced off of the pace three wide and between horses then gave way in the four path around the far turn. 1st Sticker Shock ( I O Jr 119 ) 2nd Miss Milky Way ( L Machado 119 ) 0.75L 3rd Search Party ( J Ortiz 119 ) 1.00L 6th Theoretical ( J Alvarado 119 ) 8.50L See full resultsJ Alvarado 54kg 8.50L6 (8)
Keeneland 23-Oct-25 1410m R5 Md $3,094 (of $110,000) Barrier 10, Winning Time: 01:29.190, SP: 7.00 shied slightly from an outer foe and dropped back soon after the start, lacked speed in the tow path, shifted out to the five path into the lane and improved position. 1st Coco Connect ( E Morales 119 ) 2nd Joke Maker ( T Gaffalione 119 ) 0.75L 3rd Sticker Shock ( I O Jr 119 ) 6.75L 5th Theoretical ( J Ortiz 119 ) 11.05L See full resultsJ Ortiz 54kg 11.05L5 (10)
Churchill Downs 26-Sep-25 1310m R5 Md $8,400 (of $120,000) Barrier 2, Winning Time: 01:16.990, SP: 13.00 raced forwardly along the inside, checked slightly to tip two wide and between rivals to maneuver around a faltering foe at the five furlong pole, chased near the two path around the turn, stayed on into the final furlong, got outkicked late yet reclaimed fourth at the wire. 1st Counting Stars ( I O Jr 119 ) 2nd Fashion Designer ( F Geroux 119 ) 4.00L 3rd Honfleur ( T Gaffalione 119 ) 1.75L 4th Theoretical ( J Alvarado 119 ) 7.75L See full resultsJ Alvarado 54kg 7.75L4 (12)